4. Objectives
What to write
Study objectives and hypotheses.
Explanation
Clinical studies may have a general aim (a long-term goal, such as ‘to improve the staging of oesophageal cancer’), specific objectives (well-defined goals for this particular study) and testable hypotheses (statements than can be falsified by the study results).
In diagnostic accuracy studies, statistical hypotheses are typically defined in terms of acceptability criteria for single tests (minimum levels of sensitivity, specificity or other measures). In those cases, hypotheses generally include a quantitative expression of the expected value of the diagnostic parameter. In other cases, statistical hypotheses are defined in terms of equality or non-inferiority in accuracy when comparing two or more index tests.
A priori specification of the study hypotheses limits the chances of post hoc data-dredging with spurious findings, premature conclusions about the performance of tests or subjective judgement about the accuracy of the test. Objectives and hypotheses also guide sample size calculations. An evaluation of 126 reports of diagnostic test accuracy studies published in high-impact journals in 2010 revealed that 88% did not state a clear hypothesis.1
In the first example, the authors' objective was to evaluate the accuracy of three diagnostic strategies; their specific hypothesis was that the sensitivity of any of these would exceed the prespecified value of 95%. In the second example, the authors explicitly describe the hypotheses they want to explore in their study. The first hypothesis is about the comparative sensitivity of two index tests (rapid antigen detection test vs culture performed in physician office laboratories); the second is about variability of rapid test performance according to patient characteristics (spectrum bias).
Examples
‘The objective of this study was to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of 3 different diagnostic strategies: a single rapid antigen test, a rapid antigen test with a follow-up rapid antigen test if negative (rapid-rapid diagnostic strategy), and a rapid antigen test with follow-up culture if negative (rapid-culture)—the AAP diagnostic strategy—all compared with a 2-plate culture gold standard. In addition, […] we also compared the ability of these strategies to achieve an absolute diagnostic test sensitivity of >95%’.2
‘Our 2 main hypotheses were that rapid antigen detection tests performed in physician office laboratories are more sensitive than blood agar plate cultures performed and interpreted in physician office laboratories, when each test is compared with a simultaneous blood agar plate culture processed and interpreted in a hospital laboratory, and rapid antigen detection test sensitivity is subject to spectrum bias’.3
Training
The UK EQUATOR Centre runs training on how to write using reporting guidelines.
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